For the day tomorrow, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Slight risk of Severe Weather across northeastern Illinois into much of lower Michigan. As daytime heating occurs across this area, expect little in the way of convective inhibition by the afternoon hours. Despite model differences between the GFS and NAM, strong forcing ahead of a trailing cold front should allow for severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail, damaging wind gusts, and isolated tornadoes. Farther to the south across Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, and Mississippi, convective initiation ahead of a stalling cold front may occur. However, due to dry air and lack of significant forcing, the main threat will likely be large hail.
|Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Probabilistic Outlook|