As a weak shortwave moves into the Central Plains tomorrow, it will be met with an increasingly favorable region for severe thunderstorms. Peak heating should add additional energy for storms to fire off of, and steep mid-level/low-level lapse rates should encourage a hail/damaging wind threat. However, due to relatively weak wind shear, the threat of tornadoes is low. While it is not entirely clear where the main focus of convective activity will evolve, current thinking is that storms will fire across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandle and Kansas in the evening, spreading across Iowa, Nebraska, and into the Great Lakes region as a low-level jet helps promote nocturnal activity, with a continued threat of hail and damaging winds.
|Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Probabilistic Outlook|